Volume 7
Issue No. 2-3 The Impact of the Crisis on Migration in Asia
Introduction
, Vol. 7 (3-4), p. 137-143, 1998.
Lee, Joseph S.
"The Impact of the Asian Financial Crisis on Foreign Workers in Taiwan,"
Vol 7, (2-3), p. 145-169, 1998.
Having experienced an economic crisis earlier, Taiwan was on its
way to recovery when the crisis struck in 1997. In general, Taiwan's labor market was
hardly affected by the crisis. Although the demand for foreign workers continues, there
will be a decline in the employment of foreign workers in the future. The completion of
construction projects and the upgrading of the economic structure would imply a lesser
demand for foreign workers in the next few years. In the future, while the Taiwanese labor
market would be more restrictive of less-skilled workers, it would be more open to
professionals and highly skilled.
Ng, Sek-hong and Grace O.M. Lee
"Hong Kong Labor
Market in the Aftermath of the Crisis: Implications for Foreign Workers,"
Vol 7, (2-3), p. 171-186,
1998.
Hong Kong suffered economically and socially from the Asian
financial crisis. Due to the speculative attack on the Hong Kong dollar, which is pegged
to the US dollar, businesses suffered from tight liquidity and high interest rates. The
stock market as well as the property market plunged by more than 40 percent in less than
nine months. Tourism and other consumption-related sectors such as retail and restaurants
also suffered as a result of the depreciation of currencies in Japan and other Southeast
Asian countries. Poor business performance led to mass lay-offs and retrenchment. However,
the local workers rather than the guest workers were more adversely affected by the
crisis. In spite of the guest workers apparent marginality in the labor market,
there have been hardly any reports of en masse retrenchment and repatriation of these
workers. However, the chances of guest workers to obtain employment in Hong Kong may be on
the downturn.
Hui, Weng-Tat
"The Regional Economic Crisis and Singapore: Implications for
Labor Migration,"
Vol 7, (2-3), p.
187-218, 1998.
Backed by sound economic fundamentals and policies, the Singapore
economy has so far been able to cope relatively well with the economic crisis. However
because of its close links with the regional economies, the deepening crisis is expected
to result in a significant economic slowdown not seen since the last recession in 1985.
The worsening labor market conditions are not expected to lead to massive retrenchment and
repatriation of foreign workers because of the policy of retaining workers by performance
rather than by their nationality. Irregular migration is an increasing problem and as
unemployment rises, the effective regulation and management of foreign labor and migration
flows pose a crucial challenge to policy makers in Singapore.
Park, Young-bum
"The Financial Crisis and Foreign Workers in Korea,"
Vol 7, (2-3), p. 219-233, 1998.
Since the financial crisis started, the employment situation in
Korea has been worsening. In a span of six months, about one million people lost their
jobs. By offering the amnesty program to undocumented foreign workers right after the IMF
measures took effect, the Korean government revealed its view of foreign workers as a
buffer against economic ups and downs. About one-third of the illegal workers left Korea
under this program. However, many Korean firms are still having difficulties in hiring
local workers for the jobs which were previously held by foreign workers. This indicates
that the government should reconsider its position concerning the importation of foreign
labor.
Watanabe, Susumu
"The Economic Crisis and Migrant Workers in Japan,"
Vol 7, (2-3), p. 235-254, 1998.
The employment situation in Japan
continues to deteriorate, and it will take some time before recovery starts. The current
economic crisis has had little negative impact on the inflow of migrant workers, both
legal and illegal. The declines recorded in recent years are due more to stricter control
of illegal migration in Japan and in a few sending countries. The crisis, however, has
reduced the earnings of some groups of migrant workers. Illegal workers are more
vulnerable because they are not protected from abuse as much as legitimate workers, nor do
they usually come out to seek official services offered. More serious international
efforts are required to curb the illegal flow of workers. An aggressive labor export
policy may work against workers welfare especially at the time of crisis in host
economies.
Pillai, Patrick
"The Impact of the Economic Crisis on Migrant Labor in
Malaysia: Policy Implications,"
Vol
7, (2-3), p. 255-280, 1998.
The regional crisis will
increase employment and income inequalities within and between countries, thereby further
increasing emigration pressures and drawing into sharper focus the disjunction between
capital movement, State sovereignty and migration. Malaysia, with one of Asias
largest foreign labor pools, is a case in point. The financial crisis has hit most
sectors, but migrants in construction and services are particularly affected. Official
retrenchment data do not include the tens of thousands of documented migrants whose
permits were not renewed on expiry, or the undocumented migrants repatriated. Though
security concerns appeared to override market factors soon after the crisis broke out,
demand for labor, employer pressure, and the prospect of higher revenues from migrant
levies and pension fund contributions encouraged the State to change its stance and adopt
a more flexible policy on migrant recruitment. Nationally, there is an urgent need for a
clearer social consensus, culminating in a more consistent, predictable and detailed
program to reduce foreign labor dependence. Regionally, governments have to create more
jobs and reduce poverty so that migration pressures are eased.
Kurus, Bilson
"Migrant Labor: The Sabah Experience," Vol 7, (2-3), p. 281-295, 1998.
Sabah has been the recipient of countless migrants for centuries.
The most recent of these are largely Indonesians and Filipinos who come for economic
reasons. The current economic turmoil has affected the capacity of the state to provide
employment to both local and foreign workers. While Sabah is working towards reducing its
dependence on foreign workers, it is likely that Sabah will continue to depend on migrant
workers in the short and immediate term. The Sabah experience suggests that a more
systematic approach is needed to regulate the flow of migrant labor in the region. But for
this to succeed, the support and cooperation of all the relevant parties would be
essential.
Chalamwong, Yongyuth
"The Impact of the Crisis on Migration in Thailand,"
Vol 7, (2-3), p. 297-312, 1998.
Thailands current economic crisis resulted from the
bursting of the bubble economy that developed from a combination of excessive speculation
and liberalization of the finance system. Not only is Thailand expected to post a negative
5.5 percent economic growth and 9.4 percent inflation by the end of 1998, but it will also
experience a reversal of rural-urban migration trends. The Thai government is stepping up
enforcement against illegal foreign workers and is seeking help from neighboring states in
facilitating the reintegration of their workers. At the same time the government targets
to send at least 215,000 Thai workers to other countries.
Ananta, Aris, Daksini Kartowibowo, Nur Hadi Wiyono and Chotib
"The Impact of the Economic Crisis on International Migration:
The Case of Indonesia,"
Vol 7, (2-3),
p. 313-338, 1998.
The severe and long crisis that hit Indonesia has affected many
facets of the countrys life, including migration into and from Indonesia. The paper
describes the worsening of economic conditions in Indonesia, which may last until at least
the end of 1998. Emigration pressures on both the skilled and unskilled labor force will
keep rising. The paper argues that leaving out market forces in the government policies of
Indonesia as well as those of the host countries are only likely to lead to illegal
migration. The main recommendation of the paper is to have a comprehensive liberalization
policy which considers market forces in the larger context of international relations. The
issue of out-migration from Indonesia should be seen simultaneously with the entry of
international labor, trade and capital to Indonesia.
Böhning, W. R.
"Conceptualizing and Simulating the Impact of the Asian Crisis
on Filipinos Employment Opportunities Abroad,"
Vol 7, (2-3), p. 339-367, 1998.
In the absence of hard registration or
survey data on return migrants, this paper first seeks to identify the factors that reduce
Filipinos employment opportunities in countries affected by the current crisis and
then carries out two rounds of simulation to estimate the orders of magnitude involved.
The first round consists of a simple employment elasticity exercise. The second takes
account of anticipated sectoral, occupational or other impacts. Finally, the paper briefly
lists the measures available to the Government to deal with return migration.
Ahmed, Shamsun Naher
"The Impact of the Asian Crisis on Migrant Workers: Bangladesh
Perspectives," Vol 7, (2-3), p. 369-393, 1998.
This paper addresses the impact
of the recent Asian financial crisis on migration in Bangladesh. The crisis has stemmed
the outflow of migrant workers to the affected countries but also diversified the flows as
well as sparked rising return migration. Remittances and foreign exchange reserves are
likely to be adversely affected. Irregular migration towards more diversified but less
remunerative pockets has increased. What is more disconcerting is the increasing trend in
the ranks of the already sizable unemployed. The government should gear up retraining,
rehabilitation and reintegration measures. Insurance schemes and other safety nets may be
introduced to meet unforeseen crisis. Migration is a humanitarian issue. It has to be
addressed through a sensible legal regime where interests of both the sending and
receiving countries could be accommodated.